Friday, October 27, 2023

The definition that is Arrogance in Ann Arbor:

 For your reading enjoyment... read below the image for the whole kit and kaboodle.  


A few years ago, I sat down with a former NCAA enforcement officer to compare notes now that their career in Indianapolis was over.

Exhausted by years of feckless bureaucracy, they summarized the job of enforcement in a way I’ve never forgotten: “We don’t catch the good cheaters. That’s basically impossible with the way it’s all set up. And most of them are pretty good at cheating. We catch the bad ones, the dumb ones, and it’s really hard to even do that.”



Michigan is going to get caught for stealing signs because it is incredibly, hilariously bad at cheating.

As of this writing, evidence of Michigan football’s overly telegraphed and woefully concealed national sign-stealing campaign is still trickling out: Connor Stalions, the Wolverines staffer accused of running the operation, apparently used the public setting on his Venmo account to pay a network of sideline recorders, a move rank-and-file drug dealers would scoff at. Stalions also reportedly purchased tickets to at least 12 other Big Ten schools on his own accounts, including Ohio State’s win over Penn State last weekend. Then there’s the video that appears to show Stalions standing next to Michigan’s defensive coordinator during the Ohio State game last year. Weird! My personal favorite anecdote (so far) is that a Tennessee message board captured the entire plot in action 10 months ago, but no one noticed or believed or cared.

NCAA probe began after firm obtained evidence from Michigan computers

Before we revel too much in college athletics’ most pretentious brand suffering this slapstick indignity, understand how silly and how widespread the actual crime is: Everyone — and I literally mean everyone in college football — steals signs. This is why it’s almost certain we won’t see an opposing coach condemn Michigan publicly.



Sign-stealing happens among players in live game action. It happens across the sideline between coaching staffs during games. And, yes, it happens during game-planning when opposing teams review game tape. Schools send each other their game footage as a sort of forced courtesy.

One time I bumped into a staffer in an elevator during a game, and he explained he was rushing from the press box to the sideline after charting the opposing team’s signs for a quarter. “Been stealin’ signals” was his actual quote. Then he asked how my kids were doing.

Despite the ubiquity of the practice (or maybe because of it), sign-stealing in football doesn’t create the kind of advantage it does in a sport such as baseball, as Colorado Coach Deion Sanders explained this week when he told reporters: “You could have someone’s whole game plan. They could mail it to you. You still got to stop it.” Sanders might be the most overexposed individual in the sport right now, but the former two-sport star is also the most qualified for this analysis.



It’s also important to note that college football could fix this tomorrow and catch up with the rest of the sport. The NCAA doesn’t allow certain in-game technology (such as helmet radios) that is commonplace at the high school and NFL levels.

Then there’s the matter of “getting caught” and what those ramifications will be, if any. At present, NCAA enforcement is a hapless shell. Since its amateurism business model suffered a death blow in the Supreme Court two years ago, enforcement has devolved from its already low bar into something even less. This is the same NCAA that actively avoided even trying to punish Baylor for covering up and obstructing investigations of systemic sexual assaults. Expecting some kind of takedown of this year’s Michigan team, which is on a path toward another College Football Playoff appearance at the least, is foolish. (One caveat: If more information surfaces pushing the scandal past the videotaping of sidelines, there’s potential for the Big Ten Conference office to get involved and levy its own immediate penalties.)

There’s a chance Coach Jim Harbaugh will face a charge of failing the Head Coach Responsibility Act, a blanket policy wherein the NCAA says anything that happens within a football program can be tied to the head coach as supervisor, but it’s common knowledge in the industry that Harbaugh is well-lawyered and perpetually on the cusp of an NFL return. Even if this “sticks,” it won’t significantly dent, let alone punish, anyone involved, except maybe Stalions, who has been suspended as the NCAA investigates.



So if the crime in question is commonplace and the cops sent to punish it are entirely Keystone, why is this a big deal? Why have so many in the industry, myself included, met this particular NCAA transgression with such mirth?



Because it’s Michigan. Because it’s Harbaugh. Because this is the single entity that has sworn, screamed and evangelized that everyone is cheating but them, that Michigan is not only the only one doing it the right way but the only one capable of it.

“It’s hard to beat the cheaters,” Harbaugh famously told Michigan hagiographer John U. Bacon. Bacon used the quote, in reference to Harbaugh’s opinion on recruiting in the SEC, as a chapter header in his hilariously titled “Overtime: Jim Harbaugh and the Michigan Wolverines at the Crossroads of College Football.” I guess we figured out which way they crossed.




For decades, Michigan positioned itself against the cultural and economic changes in the sport, no matter how obvious or uncomfortable, as better-than. If Michigan was successful, it was setting the impossible model of competing with the Alabamas on the field and the Ivies in the classroom. But as the Bowl Championship Series era dawned in the late 1990s, the Wolverines became also-rans after making bad coaching hires both too outsider and too insider.

Rather than self-examine, Michigan’s sizable, moneyed fandom maintained that the success of programs such as archrival Ohio State and the heathen SEC was tainted by compromised morality and NCAA rule-breaking. While those programs hoisted trophies, Michigan boasted merit badges for a morality it alone defined. When you can stare directly at the widespread practice of millionaire coaching staffs breaking rules by dropping thousands of dollars to athletes living below the poverty line and cry foul because of the letter of the NCAA law, it’s evident your excess privilege has choked off the morality centers of your brain.


Then came Harbaugh, another native son but one with an unimpeachable résumé of elevating Stanford, a brutally tough academic school, into a dominant Power Five program. Like any master politician, Harbaugh knew where his base was starving and amped up the “cheaters” rhetoric both to explain away his early struggles and to justify the excessively slow pace the Wolverines took to returning to national prominence.




The problem is now that Michigan has been made great again — the Wolverines are arguably the best team in the nation entering this weekend — it can’t do the one thing Michigan has staked its entire identity on: claiming the moral high ground.

The exposure of Stalions’s hilariously overorganized sign-stealing campaign comes on the heels of Harbaugh serving a three-game suspension for NCAA violations during the coronavirus pandemic recruiting “dead period,” as well as refusing to cooperate with the NCAA during that investigation. During his absence, Michigan players held up four fingers on the field to … honor (?) Harbaugh in a gesture that made it seem as if their coach had died and not simply been pinched for run-of-the-mill recruiting no-nos. Following his return, Harbaugh publicly promised a new “gold standard” for Michigan compliance with NCAA bylaws, a public attempt to reinstate his piousness.

Well, that lasted a month.





The real and unavoidable punishment for the Wolverines is in progress and will play out in the coming weeks: the asterisk rivals and media alike will attempt to pin on a potential national title season. As of now, Michigan is in a frantic race between now and January to undo the morality value prop it has foisted on the sport for decades and, at least right now, it feels impossible it will escape the dreaded “Yeah, but” response that could haunt this team’s potential title forever.

If that happens, Michigan will serve out a worst-case scenario it itself defined: another big-time winner who did it the wrong way. That the Wolverines could experience the pinnacle of success without telling you how different or refined or apart from the chattel of this sport they are is a fate worse than losing to Ohio State.

It’s just sign-stealing, though. All the cheaters do it.

Saturday, October 21, 2023

ES Preview: Spartans host Cheating Jesus & his Walmart Wolverines

Prima Donna Jesus Harbaugh is the second coming for the Arrogant Nation in Ann Arbor

MSU Spartans (2-4, 0-3) host #2 Arrogant Arseholes (7-0, 4-0)
October 21, 2023.  7:30 pm.  
Spartan Stadium, East Lansing

TV: NBC/Peacock
Weather:  49 and rain.  Cold and miserable.

Sagarin Ratings: scUM #1, MSU #61
Line Outta Vegas:  scUM by 24.5

First off, if you think Jesus Harbaugh doesn't know anything about breaking NCAA rules by allowing his staff to spy on other teams, then you are higher than a kite and have so much kool-aid in you, that you can't think straight.  What makes it so stupid is that his team is far more talented and better: Harbaugh's actions defy logic and necessity.  Yo, coach: Put your team on the field without shenanigans, and they'll likely win -- by a landslide.  Your actions, Harbaugh, minimize who you are as a person and as a coach.  It makes you look really stupid. Didn't you learn anything about integrity from your visit to the Pope?  But, the scUM fan base doesn't care, a la the Fab Five - so long as you win, rules be damned.  The Walmart Wolverines are blind to the obvious and will always bow to the holy grail that is Harbaugh. 

Integrity on the left, the cheating liar on the right

Hey, at least we fired our coach, and forced our previous coach to retire.  Integrity.

Back to the game:  Michigan State's defense has played well the past two weeks, at Iowa and at Rutgers.  It's the Kim offense (Iowa) and the boneheaded special teams play (Rutgers) that has cost Spartans their games in the 4th quarters.  As for Michigan? They start slow but second halves are explosive: not sure what Harbaugh is serving up at halftimes, but it is working.  Maybe Harlan Barnett can take a hint. 

I'm banking on MSU hanging in there but folding, as usual, late in the game. The Spartans are the most mistake-prone college team in America. There's not much more to say, other than the last thing Harbaugh needed to do is to hire a dummy to go scout Rutgers and Michigan State mid-season.  Barring a complete Michigan collapse and a miracle from the Pope's boss, this is a foregone conclusion. 

ES sez:  Cheating Jesus 31, Fired Masturbator 10.  


Saturday, October 14, 2023

ES Preview: Spartans at Birthplace of Football

Michigan State Spartans (2-3, 0-2) at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (4-2, 1-2) 
October 14, 2023.  Noon ET.
SHI Stadium, Piscataway, NJ

Weather:  52, RAIN, RAIN, RAIN all game long
TV:  BTN

Sagarin Ratings: Rutgers #51, MSU #65
Line Outta Vegas:  Rutgers by 4.5 

Let it rain, rain, rain.  ES remembers going to see MSU beat Rutgers about a decade ago, with the RU players touching the statue of the birthplace of college football as they entered the stadium.  Really liked Rutgers, the city next to campus; we hung out with Connor Cook's family at a tailgate before the game.  RU is an underrated Big Ten town.  

That said, this is a game of defenses, and pathetic offenses.  Actually, MSU has shown it can move the ball between the 20s, only to make mistake after mistake after mistake on offense - particularly from QB Noah Kim.  Kim will be benched for Hauser (thank God!) just because he is too much of a liability.  Time to start anew.  If MSU can get its running game going in the rain, it can keep the time of possession and turn it into an ugly slugfest.  RU held Michigan to 31 points, beat a bad Northwestern squad, and lost to a bad Wisconsin team.  RU can run, but MSU has done well stopping the run this season.  Rutgers has zero passing game.  The statistical advantage is to MSU on offense and RU on defense -> except for the turnovers, of which the Spartans are next to last in the NCAA.  Interestingly enough, MSU's QB Noah Kim is (gulp) 95th in the country in Passing Efficiency (119.0 rating) which is TERRIBLE.  Rutgers' QB Gavin Wimsatt is WORSE at 98th in the country with a 117.4 rating.  But, MSU played well at Iowa except for the damned turnovers, outgaining Iowa by 150 total yards.  Turnovers, turnovers, turnovers gotta stop. They will be reduced today. 

This has the makings of a game that can set football back 70 years.   

Here's the statistical breakdown after 5/6 games, per game averages except for turnover totals. 


MSU

RU

Total Yards

371.4

334.5

Yards Passing

251.4

161.2

Yards Rushing

120.0

173.3

Yards Allowed

341.8

282.8

Pass Yards Allowed

226.8

165.2

Rush Yards Allowed

115.0

117.7

Turnover Margin

-6

+4


Prognostications: 

J - MSU Breakout, Spartans 35-31
Big Bob:  Rutgers 27-14, with Doogie Houser getting first start
Cat: MSU 14-13
Keith:  Rutgers 31-24

ES Sez:  MSU 20-18

Friday, October 06, 2023

New MSU coach? Jonathan Smith from Oregon State

Maybe the next coach of Michigan State?
Oregon State's Jonathan Smith brings no baggage and WINS

The ES is fed up with all the "Urban Meyer for coach" crap.  Meyer hired an individual who beat his wife, was involved in a lap dance, and also in recruiting violations.  Many in the Spartan Nation are asking, "why don't you just want a winner, he is guaranteed."  Meyer is not guaranteed.  He would never offer a guarantee to MSU, so there is no guarantee. People, show me ONE STUDY that shows paying more for a coach equates to more wins.  

I thought so. There is no study. Why?  Because football is a zero-sum game: one team wins, another team loses.  So, the chances of winning is gambling with good money.

To MSU Trustees: Don't spend so much money on a coach without any guarantee of victory!  To his credit, even UM coach Harbaugh cut his contract in half before he could prove his teams could succeed to the promised land, aka CFP. 

As my friend Paul from Australia said - and he and I graduated back in 1990/91: "I don't know enough about college fb to speak intelligently. I would settle for a decent human being."

What a brillant quote.  A decent human being. OK, so let's check Urban Meyer off our list. 

Let's be fair: the last three hires from MSU were unexpected:  John L Smith from Louisville, Mark Dantonio from Cincy, and Mel Tucker from Colorado.  I expect the same: a name noone is talking about.

I give you: Jonathan Smith, of Oregon State.  Personally, if I was coach at Oregon State in Corvallis, I would never leave.  It is the most beautiful campus in America.  I want to die in Corvallis, or Cannon Beach, or anywhere on the Oregon Coast.  That said, Smith is young.  His team is ranked #15 at 4-1, and last year was 10-3.  The year before, 7-6. But he has some impressive wins on his resume: #10 Utah last week, a 30-3 shellacking of SEC Florida in the Vegas Bowl, win over Oregon last year, won at USC in 2021... he has a strong resume.  And, he has no problems. 

I think this is our guy: Jonathan Smith.  My contract deal: Offer him maybe $1M up front, then $750K  per win. The more he wins, the more he makes.  Purely an incentive-based contract.   Take it or leave it.  But this is his chance, and our chance. 

Thoughts?  Go GREEN.