#9/#11 Michigan State University at University of Washington
September 16, 2022. 4:30 pm. PT.
Husky Stadium, Seattle.
TV: ABC
Weather: 63 and cloudy
Sagarin Ratings: UW #21, Michigan State #24
Line outta Vegas: UW by 3-1/2
The ES is in town for the MSU-UW tilt, and visited his friend (a professor at UW) yesterday. Walking the streets, going up to the rooftop at the Graduate hotel, lots of GO GREEN GO WHITE! My friend said “what if I just say GO WHITE”? I said “it would fall on deaf ears, you gotta say GO GREEN and the other says GO WHITE!” She was impressed by the enthusiasm of us Spartoonies. Right on!
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View from the Graduate Hotel, UW District |
UW has Michael Penix, the former Indiana QB that torched us for a few years before transferring. UW is averaging a whopping 571 yards per game on offense. That will test the Spartan secondary. Expect Penix to put up some points. Wait, who have the Huskies played? Nobody, just like Michigan State. There’s plenty of API talent on the UW roster with names I can’t pronounce.
But, MSU has its pair of RBs: Wisconsin transfer Jalen Berger, runs hard and fast and leans forward; Colorado transfer David Broussard dances through tough traffic to find yards. The pair make a good duo, averaging 5.7 ypc and 228 ypg, good for 24tth in the country. Payton Thorne has underperformed, throwing off his back foot and overthrowing receivers; he needs to be solid. Thorne is a fourth-quarter QB, and improves as the games go along. He's a gamer. Let’s hope Jaylen Reed returns for MSU after the injury vs. WMU. Expect points on this end.
This game will come up to turnovers and possibly the kicking game. The ES was telling his dad our punter, the bespectacled Bryce Ballinger, can flip a field and drop a punt inside the 10; he’s ranked #21 in net punting at 43 ypg. That might bode well for the Spartans in this game and help the defense by giving UW a long field. Washington’s net punting, with Jack McCallister, is ranked #79 at 39 ypg. MSU’s kicker, Jack Stone, is fresh outta high school, an 18-year-old, and is 1-2 on the season. Untested, indeed. UW has an advantage here, with senior Peyton Henry 2-2 on the season. Last year, he was 11-14, but only with a long of 38 yards (0-3 beyond 40 yards).
I'm guessing 20,000 Spartans will fill the 73,000-seat Husky Stadium. Watch a back-and-forth game, momentum back and forth, with the game hinging on a turnover and field position. That gives MSU an advantage. Despite the 0-13 history regular season out west dating back to a win over Cal in 1957, expect the Big Green TD Machine to notch a win.
Prognostications:
College FB HQ/Fan Nation: UW 31, MSU 25
CFN: UW 27, MSU 23
MLive: MSU 30, UW 27
LSJ: MSU 31, UW 24
The Only Colors: MSU 24, UW 27
Sporting News: MSU 28, UW 23
ES Sez: James Caan 31, Bruce Lee 27.