Thursday, September 15, 2011

ES Game Day Predictions: Michigan State at the Friggin Irish

MSU Spartans at Notre Dame Irish
South Bend, IN.  3:30 pm.
Rankings:  MSU #15 (AP, USA Today), #28 (Sagarin).  Notre Dame #53 (Sagarin).
TV:  NBC
Line:  ND favored by 5
Weather: 68 degrees, sunny.

Picks:  NBC Sports: MSU 24-23.  CBS Sports: ND 31-21. ESPN/Schlabach: ND.  ESPN/Rittenberg: MSU 27-24.  ESPN/Bennett: MSU 31-28. Bleacher Report/Rymer: ND 27-24.  Scout/CFN:  ND 38-34.

ES pick:  MSU 27, ND 21.
Stat of the week:  Worthy, Pickelman, and a stingy MSU defense holds ND to less than 100 yards rushing, less than 400 total yards. MSU has won 10 of 14 and will continue its dominance at Spartan Stadium West with another resounding, defensive domination.

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Spartan combat uniforms unveiled; They are the GREATEST uniform design in the history of football

One of my students just showed this to me after class. Sweet... though it may resemble Oregon's unis too much? NOPE - after further review, these are about the slickest damn uniforms the ES has ever seen.  They should be permanent. Immediately.

The Big Green will sport them when they kick Michigan's overrated arse on October 15. Love the comment on the "Bronze" color embedded throughout the uniform: "BRONZE: The superior weaponry armor and strategy made Spartans legendary warriors. Brother protects brother as the team defends the field. PHALANX."  And, those gloves are amazing.  Ridiculously cool.  Read how Grinz raves about the new uniforms for Mlive.com, and subsequently published over on msuspartans.com.  Wow, these are pretty slick (more static images here).

As stated by the Detroit News: "The uniform, which includes a bronze helmet and black pants, has inscribed in back of the collar the words "Molon Labe," which means "come and take them" in Greek, a classic and defiant expression connected to King Leonidas of Sparta, according to msuspartans.com."

Monday, September 12, 2011

MSU NOT favored by 5 over the Irish; Spartans move up to #15

Michigan State, after its defensive-minded, dominating annihilation of Florida Atlantic, 44-0, now travels to take on 0-2 Notre Dame, which decided to fold about :23 seconds too soon in its 35-31 loss at Michigan last Saturday.

The 2-0 Spartans, which moved up to #15 in both the USA Today and AP Polls, open as 5-pt favorites UNDERDOGS (SEE POST BELOW) over the Irish in South Bend.   Iowa is favored by 3 at home over Pittsburgh; Michigan by 29 at home over EMU; JoePa by 9.5 at Temple; Wisky by 16 vs Northern Illinois (in Chicago); Minny by 3 home over Miami (Ohio); Nebraska by 17.5 home over Washington;  Arizona State by 1.5 at Illinois; Northwestern by 7 at Army;  Purdue v SE Missouri State and Indiana vs SC State have no line...

As for the Big Green, it moved up to #15.  Here's the USA Today poll for good measure:


USA Today Poll
RKTEAMRECORDPTS
1Oklahoma (44)1-01453
2Alabama (8)2-01410
3LSU (7)2-01372
4Boise State1-01214
5Florida State2-01211
6Stanford2-01165
7Oklahoma State2-01072
8Wisconsin2-01033
9Texas A&M1-01001
10Nebraska2-0911
11South Carolina2-0863
12Virginia Tech2-0842
13Arkansas2-0825
14Oregon1-1754
15Michigan State2-0639
16Ohio State2-0566
17Florida2-0498
18Arizona State2-0353
19Auburn2-0331
20West Virginia2-0304
21Texas2-0260
22South Florida2-0230
23TCU1-1211
24Baylor1-0171
25Mississippi State1-1125

Dropped from rankings: Missouri 19, Penn State 20
Others receiving votes: Michigan 97, UCF 49, Houston 43, Northwestern 31, Penn State 29, North Carolina 23, Tennessee 21, Missouri 21, Georgia Tech 9, Maryland 9, Clemson 8, Washington 7, California 6, San Diego State 3, Georgia 2, Iowa State 2, Brigham Young 1

ND favored by 5 - what the x$#@%!

OK, so many folks pointing out to the ES that it is ND favored by 5.  Thanks, the correction is appreciated... But, where does the ES get his info?  From a source called VegasInsider.com.  Yesterday, at 6 pm, they posted a line from Wynn in Vegas that said MSU -5 and from BoDog via OffShore Odds that stated MSU -5.5 vs ND (so if Wisconsin is -16 vs Miami, since I can't read lines it would mean they are an underdog to Miami Ohio? Of course, they aren't).  Now, we see that the VI website switched it from a stupid idiot input error.  Those that say the ES can't read betting lines, come on, gimme a break... The ES is only sharing the info as it is disseminated.  But, what is good to know is that this VI website is not to be considered the best source of info on Sunday evenings.  Lesson learned...

Thanks, for the correction - MSU SHOULD be favored by 5...  We'll win by at least that much... Go GREEN!

Sunday, September 11, 2011

Walk to Spartan Stadium


IMG_0137 a video by enlightenedspartan on Flickr.

Here is a video the ES took yesterday as he crossed the bridge over the Red Cedar River, walking to Spartan Stadium to witness Michigan State's 44-0 rout of Florida Atlantic.

2011 MSU Spartan football

IMG_1115IMG_1112IMG_1108IMG_1107IMG_1106IMG_1105
IMG_1104IMG_1103IMG_1099IMG_1097IMG_1094

2011 MSU Spartan football, a set on Flickr.

Michigan State 44, Florida Atlantic 0. September 10, 2011. East Lansing, MI.

What a butt-kicking.
Total yards: MSU 434, FAU 48.
First downs: MSU 27, FAU 1.

Thursday, September 08, 2011

GAME DAY: ES predicts MSU vs Florida Atlantic and Big Ten odds

Michigan State Spartans vs. Florida Atlantic Owls
East Lansing, MI.  Noon
TV:  ESPN
Weather: Nice, maybe a little wet.  72 degrees, 40% t-storms
Latest Line:  MSU favored by 32 1/2 pts (-32.5)

Rankings: MSU #16 (USA Today), #17 (AP), #39 (Sagarin) vs FAU #135 (Sagarin)

ES prediction: MSU 37, Florida Atlantic 17.
Key Stat prediction:  Edwin Baker will have more than 150 yards rushing.

Notables from last week:  FAU gained only 137 total yards to 468 by #18 Florida in a 41-3 rout by the Gators.

OTHER BIG TEN ODDS:  Wisconsin -20 home over Oregon State; Ohio State -18 home over Toledo;  Minny -20 home over New Mexico State; Alabama -10 on the road at Joe Pa; Purdon't -1 away at Rice; Nebraska -28 home vs Fresno State; Virginia -6.5 at Indiana; ummm, does this make sense after the AWFUL performance of the Irish vs South Florida... -3.5 at Michigan????  other game of note... CMU an 11 point 'dog at Kentucky.  Not listed: Illinois vs S Dakota St; Northwestern vs Eastern Illinois

Tuesday, September 06, 2011

MSU up a notch to #16

Fascinating how a ho-hum win (28-6) against a ho-hum oppenent (Youngstown State) equals a smidgeon above the status quo.  MSU doesn't move in the AP, but up a notch in the USA Today poll.

USA Today Poll
RKTEAMRECORDPTS
1Oklahoma (43)1-01454
2Alabama (9)1-01412
3LSU (7)1-01366
4Florida State1-01198
5Boise State1-01197
6Stanford1-01180
7Oklahoma State1-01038
8Texas A&M1-0997
9Wisconsin1-0988
10Nebraska1-0910
11Virginia Tech1-0863
12South Carolina1-0827
13Arkansas1-0786
14Oregon0-1752
15Ohio State1-0686
16Michigan State1-0584
17Mississippi State1-0497
18Florida1-0375
19Missouri1-0309
20Penn State1-0247
21Texas1-0231
22Auburn1-0197
23Arizona State1-0189
24West Virginia1-0185
25TCU0-1140

Dropped from rankings:
Notre Dame 18, Georgia 22

Others receiving votes:
Baylor 117, South Florida 97, Iowa 44, Utah 42, Georgia 35, Houston 31, Northwestern 30, Arizona 28, UCF 18, Hawaii 17, North Carolina 15, Michigan 15, NORIL 13, Clemson 13, Southern Miss 12, Air Force 10, Notre Dame 8, Tennessee 5, Brigham Young 4, Maryland 4, Georgia Tech 3, Washington 3, Texas Tech 1, California 1, Cincinnati 1

Friday, September 02, 2011

GAME DAY: ES predicts MSU vs Youngstown State

Michigan State Spartans vs. Youngstown State Penguins
East Lansing, MI.  7:30 pm.
TV:  BTN
Weather: Hot & steamy.  85 degrees, 30% t-storms

Rankings: MSU #17 (USA Today, AP), #36 (Sagarin) vs YSU #151 (Sagarin)

ES prediction: MSU 52, Youngstown State 10. 
Key Stat prediction:  MSU will have over 250 yards rushing.

Thursday, September 01, 2011

Michigan State to the PROMISED LAND in 2013: ES Predictions

What does the ES predict?  Sure, at best we can clean the slate and go to the PROMISED LAND.  At worst, the Big Green will still be a Touchdown Machine in 2011.  Many are predicting it could be the Doctor's best team... but with the toughest schedule.  It is TOUGH to predict as many last minute wins as last year, or as my buddy Paul says, I can predict the 2011 Spartans will be  "Probably the Greatest Team in the History of Football."  Of course, to help its cause, MSU has joined the list of woosies, like Michigan, who are scheduling DOWN for a guarantee win to secure bowl eligibility (Appalachian State withstanding).  Youngstown State tops the schedule.  Harumph.  If it was the greatest team ever, would we need to schedule YSU, or should we instead schedule top tiered BCS-conference teams?  Regardless of our status, the ES thinks the latter... schedule up, take our lumps, and DOMINATE.  You don't know until you try.

That said, let's predict the '11 slate...
  • 9/2. Youngstown State.  MSU 52-10. YSU graduated the cheatin' sweater to OSU, and YSU has never been the same since; they are clean, but stink. YSU wuz 3-8 last year.  MSU 1-0.
  • 9/10. Florida Atlantic.  MSU 37-17. Who scheduled this matchup? It's been ugly: a torrential downpour and 250 yards out of Ringer in '09, a 3/4 empty stadium in Detroit in '10, and... a four-sack effort out of Worthy in '11. MSU 2-0.
  • 9/17.  at Notre Dame.  MSU 29-28.  With no time remaining on the clock, Dantonio pulls the Hook-and-Lateral: Cousins-to-Cunningham-to a trailing-Baker. And, instead of the XP, Sparty goes for two, and runs the Statue of Liberty with LeVeon Bell for the conversion and win.  ND coach Kelly says, "Holy Shamrocks!  I seen this before!" Fools gold, MSU wins. MSU 3-0.
  • 9/14. CMU. MSU 38-14.  This ain't your Kelly or Davis Chips.  This is your Enos Chips.  These guys are a question mark in 2011: but, if it takes a penalty on a last second 4th-down touchdown pass, a botched onsides kick, and another penalty to recoup from a missed FG as time expires... on the best team you ever had... well, should be no problem this year. Since that debacle in 2009, MSU is up, and CMU is down.  Would be nice to be a good game, but it won't.  MSU 4-0.
  • 10/1.  at Ohio State.  MSU 27-21. Tressell returns, only to show up in the locker room, carrying $100 bills and shoving them down the pants of the players.  "Hey coach, we're running out onto the field! Pay us later!" "No worries, it's all about values -- go WIN and keep the greenbacks."  The Buckeyes will turn green, from the Spartan Touchdown Machine and Edwin Baker, who amasses 150 yards and a pair of TDs on the ground.  MSU 5-0.
  • 10/15. MICHIGAN.   MSU 34-28.  A battle between the Peanut Barrel and the Blimpy Burger ensues. Todd Blackledge is judge.  The Blimps throw one of their 2.1 billion combinations at Todd, the Barrel throws one of their 8 combinations at Todd -- and, like any scientist, figures out that simpler IS better (remember, E=mc2)?  The Barrel, Todd, and Spartans win in resounding fashion (despite a late throw away-TD for scUM).  MSU 6-0.
  • 10/22. WISCONSIN.  UW 31-24.   The longest Spartan winning streak at home (11 games through 10/15) since the era of Bubba Smith comes to a close with a Badger retribution from last year.  The ES is no fan of the stinking Badgers and Bielema, but MSU can't win at home forever...  MSU 6-1.
  • 10/29. at Nebraska.  MSU 29-27.  Dan Conroy for President:  he kicks five field goals, including the game winner as time expires.  Welcome to the Big Ten, Corn Men.  MSU 7-1.
  • 11/5.  MINNESOTA. MSU 37-24.  Minnesota limps into Spartan Stadium, with new coach Jerry Kill announcing that both it and Indiana will leave the Big Ten and instead join North Dakota and South Dakota in the Great West Conference.  The Big Ten will return to 10, the planets will align, and the world of sports will sing in harmony.  MSU 8-1.
  • 11/12.  at Iowa.  MSU 23-21. Local residents learn in horror as KFC announces it has fried up Iowa's ugly duckling mascot.  Pieces of polyester and cotton are found in over 100 chicken baskets across Iowa City.  Upon questioning, it is learned the local franchise owner is a Spartan loyalist.  MSU 9-1.
  • 11/19. INDIANA.  MSU 42-17. New Indiana head coach Kevin Wilson, noting his team's 0-10 start, announces just prior to the Spartan game that, it won't join Minnesota in the Great West Conference.  Instead it is moving to Division II, and joining the Great Lakes Intercollegiate Athletic Conference (GLIAC).  MSU 10-1.
  • 11/26.  at Northwestern.  NW 72-66.   The highest scoring game in modern history comes to a close in sub-zero temperatures in suburban Chicago.  Persa throws for 700 yards, Cousins for 600, and the game lasts for six hours, and 5 OTs.  Persa gets the better of Cousins, but doesn't spoil Sparty's trip to the Big Ten title game, as it wins the Legends Division with a 6-2/4-1 mark.  MSU 10-2.
  • 12/3.  vs. Wisconsin, Big Ten Title Game.  MSU 24-23.  Captain Kirk leads a last second drive to score a TD and take the Big Ten crow, with Sparty defeating Wisky when it really matters, at the Big Ten championship...  As Freddy Kreuger would say... "What a RUSH!"  MSU 11-2
OK, so there you have it, 11-2/6-2/4-1 record.  On paper, Michigan State should be as good as any team in the conference.  Maybe they beat Northwestern but lose at Nebraska; Maybe they lose to Wisconsin, Ohio State, Nebraska, and Iowa.  OK.  But, the ES hopes he is wrong, and that the Big Green can win their entire slate at home  for a second consecutive year, especially with wins at Nebraska and Ohio State.  The NW game is tricky, that team has really spellbound the Spartans in recent years.  But, a shoot-out seems realistic.  The ES will take 11-2... but 13-0 seems a whole lot more fun.  And, just making it to the Big Ten title game would be FANTASTIC. 

See you in Spartan Stadium on Friday evening.  Go SPARTANS!


    Tuesday, August 23, 2011

    Spartan D Dominates; MSU on BTN tonight at 8 pm

    So, getting back to the important things in life, a.k.a. Spartan Football, it was refreshing to read the account of the Spartan defensive domination in the latest scrimmage.  The juicy quote from MD was "I really feel like again, we still have great chemistry on this football team, guys are playing extremely hard and playing with toughness."

    And, the ES has always had a love affair with defensive-minded football, far more than an offensive shootout.  Thus, it was reassuring to know that in the recent scrimmage, the first-team defense didn't allow a touchdown and overall, the defense caused four turnovers, including two interceptions returned for touchdowns. Right on, knock their blocks off. The Doctor had all sorts of praise for LB Max Bullough, who seems to be fitting right along in replace of Greg Jones and Eric Gordon (ahem, as we expected with them bloodlines, no?). 

    The team is healthy, with the exception of blue-chipper LB Lawrence Thomas, who has missed a majority of preseason camp with a shoulder injury -- he is being held out of practice and might not see his first playing time of his career until after a few games in the season.

    MSU on BTN - August 23
    Tonight (Tuesday, Aug. 23) at 8 pm, BTN will have a 30-minute preview of the Big Green. The show gives an inside look at a Spartan practice and also includes interviews with head coach Mark Dantonio, offensive coordinator Dan Roushar, defensive coordinator Pat Narduzzi, quarterback Kirk Cousins and defensive tackle Jerel Worthy.


    Friday, August 19, 2011

    The NCAA is on life support

    Maybe it's finally time to start talking about getting rid of the NCAA.  John Feinstein, who often I find rather dull or shallow, makes excellent points (though he is exasperated) about how outdated the rules and structure of the organization.  Yes, maybe three new organizations: one for football, one for men's basketball, and one for all the other college sports.  That actually makes too good of sense to really happen.  And, Dan Wetzel, who often skews facts to fit his arguments (as is the case in his book, "Death to the FBS"), happens in this case to wrap things up with a nice bow, tying the Miami scandal to the overall corrupt nature of those who are in charge of big time college sports.

    Read these articles and then ponder how the NCAA gets around this mess.  My guess, is it won't.  Something's gonna change.  But, will the NCAA fix the problems?  Not if those that are making the rules are the ones reaping the profits.  The system is broken, and  it might take Congressional action or the IRS to fix it:  the NCAA won't do it. And, Congress is broken too, and has enough of its own mess on its hands.  My guess is the class action lawsuits out there, when they come to fruition, will force the NCAA's hand.  The NCAA is on life support, and their time is ticking away.

    Maybe the NCAA will give Miami football the death penalty as the way to solve this?  That just removes one of the symptoms, not the cause.

    Tuesday, August 16, 2011

    Michigan State favored by "about 40" over Youngstown State; B1G Ten odds

    Michigan State vs Youngstown State? No Line of course, because the Big Green decided to schedule DOWN, DOWN, DOWN.   So, the ES asks YOU (guess at right) by how many points will Michigan State defeat the Penguins. Considering the lines below (Wisky -35, OSU -32) over D1A mid-majors, the ES figures it probably is about a 35 to 45 point spread with the Spartans as Favorite.

    Other Big Ten Squads?

    Wisky is favored by 35 at home over UNLV; Illinois by 20 at home over Arkansas State; Purdue favored by 18 at home over Middle Tennessee; Boston College favored by 3 home vs Northwestern; Southern Cal favored by 21 at home over Minny; Ohio State favored by 32 at home over Akron; Michigan favored by 14 at home over WMU; Indiana favored by 6 1/2 at Ball State;

    Not listed?  Iowa home vs. Tennessee Tech; Penn State home vs Indiana State; Nebraska home vs Chattanooga; 

    FYI - Notre Dame favored by 10 1/2 at home over South Florida

    And, current odds to win the 2012 BCS Title Game?  Michigan State is only a 40-1 bet.  Bet it!  What is B.S. is the oddsmakers have Notre Dame 20-1... uheam!

    What the hell is the most interesting thing about YSU, other than Pengiuns can't survive there?  Um, Major Healey (aka "I Dream of Jeanie") was the grandfather of former YSU baseball shortstop Jackie Healey...

    Spartan Fan/Spirit Day? Arrgh!

    While the Doctor, Captain Kirk, and the rest of the Spartan clan were engaging the faithful in a happy day of expectations, the ES wuz busy working on his dissertation... but happened to fall into the celebation from a distance.  This is what it looked like today, from Harper's brewpub downtown:

    Saturday, August 13, 2011

    Kiper under the pillow says: "Spartans are Undervalued"

    So, here's da ES, sleeping in this morning, and with the radio under my pillow... ES starts to stir around 9:30 am.  Spin that dial to listen to something other than NPR or the BBC...and, there is Mel Kiper ALL OVER THE SPARTANS.  Just my luck.  He's just salivating over Baker, Cousins, Cunningham, Martin.  Barking out praises to Worthy, Robinson, Allen, the "pedigree" of Bullough.  Concerned about the O-line.

    Kiper's one-liner:  "THE SPARTANS ARE EXTREMELY UNDERVALUED."

    Love it, but maybe he should keep to the NFL Draft?

    It should be noted Kiper and that other chum on ESPN radio picked Nebraska over Wisky in the Big Ten title game.  But, Kiper really hedged his bets on the Big Green - "so many offensive threats"... Nice!

    Thursday, August 11, 2011

    Big Ten, MSU fare well in new NCAA rules affecting post-season play

    Today, the NCAA passed legislation very un-NCAA like:  in quick fashion. Just one day after a presidential retreat, its Board of Directors passed a new rule, phased in over a few years, that would make any team ineligible for post-season play (and the revenues that go along with it, obviously) if the team was not on-track to graduate at least half of its players. This is something that has been LONG endorsed by the Knight Commission on Intercollegiate Athletics going back 10 years or more.  The Knight Commission is a non-profit group advocating intercollegiate athletics reform and proper balance of athletics within higher education. The NCAA, however, uses a formula, called the Academic Progress Rate (APR) which tracks academic eligibility of every athlete, and  every team, on a term-by-term basis: awarding one point for staying in school (or graduating), and one point for remaining academically eligible both  at the institution and via the NCAA’s minimal academic expectations but rigid progress-toward-degree requirements (minimum # of credit hours passed each year).  An annual APR score is then averaged over a four-year period for the current APR score, which will be used in this instance.  A 930 score equates to about a 50 percent graduation rate.  A 1000 score is perfect.

    So, the ES decided to look at MSU and other Big Ten schools and their 2011 APR scores (based on the 2009-2010 academic year) in men’s basketball and football, and… if this rule were in effect this year, who would be affected in the upcoming 2011-2012 academic year?  Well… here are the numbers:


               FB
            MBK
    Illinois
    949
    964
    Indiana
    966
    929
    Iowa
    947
    939
    Michigan
    928
    970
    MSU
    938
    995
    Minnesota
    935
    964
    Nebraska
    958
    945
    N'western
    993
    990
    Ohio St
    985
    952
    Penn St
    972
    995
    Purdue
    939
    954
    Wisconsin
    967
    970


    Michigan State is fine: matter of fact, all of MSU’s 20+ athletic teams are above 930.  Just two Big Ten schools in football or men's basketball would be impacted:  the Wolvies in football (928) and Indiana in men’s basketball (929).  Mind you, this will be phased in, so these schools have some time to put in the resources (or recruit athletes with better expectation they will remain academically eligible) to improve their scores.  But, the Big Ten looks pretty solid compared to other conferences.    

    The ES won’t get into details about some of the dirty little secrets allowing teams to have exemptions for certain players.  But, the NCAA may take that on next as part of their reform effort.  

    Interesting times as we head into football season.

    Wednesday, August 10, 2011

    Big Ten schedules down down down: A look at the toughest and easiest non-conference matchups

    The ES has looked at Sagarin Ratings to rate how each of the Big Ten teams stack up entering the 2011 season, and particularly to compare non-conference scheduling. OK, we can all dispute the validity of Sagarin ratings, especially before the ball has even been set on the tee for the first time. And, look at the ratings below (with MSU at #36, compared to ES composite at #18 and USA Today coaches’ at #17).

    Sagarin Ratings
    #. School. Sagarin pts.

    3. Ohio State. 90.55
    17. Wisconsin 82.76
    18. Nebraska 82.61
    19. Iowa 32.48
    24. Penn State 81.06
    36. MSU 77.38
    54. scUM. 73.19
    56. Illinois 73.09
    66. Northwestern 70.31
    80. Purdue 68.26
    81. Minnesota 67.84
    96. Indiana 63.77

    However, the Sagarin ratings are the only ones out there that include Division I-FCS teams with Division I-FBS: that makes a total of 246 teams in the rankings. And, since the Big Ten and other BCS-conferences keep loading up with playing games vs the Sisters of the Poor, it is worth seeing the relative amount of worth of playing each of these games, in preparation for the Big Ten season.

    Below, I include the rating of each non-conference game in the Big Ten, some of the weakest and strongest schedules. The argument can easily be made that the Big Ten is embarrassing in the number of non-Division games, and games vs non-BCS teams, that are creeping into scheduling, just to be bowl eligible if anything else.  The non-conference schedule strength is based on the Sagarin ratings. Illinois has the toughest non-conference schedule, and are the only program in the Big Ten with three of their four opponents ranked under #100. Notably, the AVERAGE non-conference schedule strength for the Big Ten is OVER #100, at 102.98. That is embarrassing. What does this mean? The Big Ten continues to dilute their schedule with weaker and weaker opponents… this is reason enough for the Big Ten to move to a nine-game schedule in 2017.

    1 ILL 81.5
    2 OSU 90.5
    3 NEB 92.5
    4 MICH 94.25
    5 WIS 96.75
    6 MSU 101
    7 MINN 102.25
    8 IOWA 109
    9 NW 113
    10 PUR 113.25
    11 PSU 116.5
    12 IND 125.25

    average 102.9792

    Toughest non-conference matchups:

    1. #24 Penn State vs #1 Alabama (9/10).
    2. #81 Minnesota at #10 USC (9/3).
    3. #17 Wisconsin vs #23 Oregon State (9/10).

    Weakest non-conference matchups:

    1. #24 Penn State vs #209 Indiana State (9/3).
    2. #19 Iowa vs. #198 Tennessee Tech (9/10).
    3. #80 Purdue vs. #194 SE Missouri St (9/17).

    Biggest swings between back-to-back non-conference games:

    1. Penn State: 208 points, playing #209 Indiana State followed by #1 Alabama.
    2. Purdue: 161 points, playing #194 SE Missouri State followed by 33 Notre Dame.
    3. Minnesota: 152 points, playing #10 USC followed by #162 New Mexico St.

    Non-conference games

    MSU
    9/2. Youngstown St. #151
    9/10. Florida Atlantic #133
    9/17. at Notre Dame #33
    9/24. CMU #87

    Illinois
    9/3. Arkansas St. #119
    9/10. San Diego St. #76
    9/17. Arizona St. #34
    9/14. Western Michigan #97

    Indiana
    9/3. vs. Ball State (in Indianapolis) #127
    9/10. Virginia #65
    9/17. S. Carolina St. #155
    9/14. at North Texas #154

    Iowa
    9/3. Tennessee Tech #198
    9/10. at Iowa St. #79
    9/17. Pittsburgh #28
    9/24. Louisiana-Monroe #131

    Michigan
    9/3. Western Michigan #97
    9/10. Notre Dame #33
    9/17. Eastern Michigan #171
    9/14. San Diego State #76

    Minnesota
    9/3. at USC #10
    9/10. New Mexico St. #162
    9/17. Miami, Ohio #117
    9/24. North Dakota St. #120

    Nebraska
    9/3. UT Chattanooga #148
    9/10. Fresno St. #70
    9/17. Washington #52
    9/24. at Wyoming #100

    Northwestern
    9/3. at Boston College #38
    9/10. Eastern Illinois #185
    9/17. at Army #108
    11/12. Rice #121

    Ohio State
    9/3. Akron #157
    9/10. Toledo #103
    9/17. at Miami, Fla. #30
    9/24. Colorado #72

    Penn St.
    9/3. Indiana St. #209
    9/10. Alabama #1
    9/17. at Temple #85
    9/24. Eastern Michigan #171

    Purdue
    9/3. Middle Tennessee St. #105
    9/10. at Rice #121
    9/17. SE Missouri St. #194
    9/31. Notre Dame #33

    Wisconsin
    9/1. UNLV #113
    9/10. Oregon St. #23
    9/17. vs Northern Illinois (in Chicago) #75
    9/24. South Dakota #176

    Frank Deford on Bubba Smith

    Great report by Frank Deford (of Sports Illustrated and NPR) about Bubba Smith.  Listen.

    Friday, August 05, 2011

    MSU Spartans ranked #17 in coaches preseason poll; five Big Ten teams in top 25

    Michigan State is ranked in the top 25 along with four other Big Ten teams in the newest 2011 USA Today  preseason coaches' ballot (below).  Wisconsin is the highest ranked among the Big Ten, at #10; Nebraska at #11, Ohio State #16, Michigan State #17, and JoePa #23.

    The ES went back and looked at his preseason composite poll published June 7, which looked at eight different magazines or other national polls, these polls are prominent across the web and have been prominent for years -- prior to the 21st century of advanced internet technology. FYI - you can always look at Stassen's review and accuracy of magazine preseason polls dating back to 1993 (Phil Steele is the most accurate the past 10 years; hope he is wrong and the Spartans do much better than his #28 ranking of MSU for 2011). 

    Well, below I compared the ES composite to the coaches' poll... and the similarities are remarkable.  Matter of fact, 24 of the 25 teams in the ES composite are in the coaches' poll - the lone exception being Texas at #24 (ES composite had the Longhorns at #26).  The standard deviation comparing the rankings of each team in the Top 25 was only 2.94 -- meaning, on average, the teams in the coaches' poll were within less than 3 spots of the ES poll. The argument can be made the ES composite poll fairly well resembles what the coaches are reading and thinking. So, why wait until August for the USA Today coaches' poll??  Read the ES composite poll in June.  That said... here is the newest poll and comparing it to the ES composite poll. 

    * = "also receiving votes," not in top 25.   Big Ten teams in bold.

    USA ES

    8/3/2011 6/7/2011
          ES pts
    1 1 Oklahoma 1.50
    2 2 Alabama 2.13
    3 3 Oregon 3.38
    4 4 LSU 4.38
    5 8 Florida St. 9.75
    6 6 Stanford 7.88
    7 5 Boise St. 6.25
    8 9 Oklahoma St. 10.25
    9 7 Texas A&M 9.63
    10 17 Wisconsin 16.75
    11 13 Nebraska 14.13
    12 15 South Carolina 14.88
    13 16 Virginia Tech 15.00
    14 14 Arkansas 14.13
    15 11 TCU 13.63
    16 10 Ohio St. 10.75
    17 18 Michigan St. 17.25
    18 12 Notre Dame 13.88
    19 21 Auburn 21.50
    20 20 Mississippi St. 21.00
    21 25 Missouri 22.88
    22 19 Georgia 19.13
    23 22 Florida 22.50
    24 26 Texas 23.63
    25 23 Penn St. 22.63
    26* 27 Arizona St. 24.38
    27* 24 W. Virginia 22.63
    28* 34 Utah 25.50
    29* 30 Miami-Florida 25.00
    30*
    Iowa
    31* 29 Northwestern 24.75
    32*
    Arizona
    33* 37 Central Florida 25.88
    34* 32 Michigan 25.25
    35*
    Air Force
    36*
    North Carolina
    37* 33 Houston 25.38
    38* 35 South Florida 25.88
    39*
    Hawaii
    40*
    Clemson
    41*
    Tennessee
    42* 31 Southern Miss. 25.25
    43*
    BYU
    44*
    N. Carolina St.
    45*
    Northern Illinois
    46*
    Oregon St.
    47*
    Pittsburgh
    48*
    Washington
    49*
    Nevada
    50*
    Georgia Tech

    27 USC 24.13

    36 Tulsa 25.88

    Thursday, August 04, 2011

    RIP: Greatest Spartan Gridder Ever, Bubba Smith, Heads to the Pearly Gates

    Sometimes, bloggers get to a news item they MUST write about, but abhor the thought of doing so. Today is so.

    Bubba Smith has died.
     
    Yes, Bubba.  The greatest Michigan State University Spartan football player of all time.  "Kill Bubba Kill" Bubba Smith.  He anchored the greatest Spartan football teams of all time, the 19-1-1 Spartans from 1964-1966.  Bubba, who also starred in Miller Light Beer commercials with Dick Butkus and Rodney Dangerfield, who was "Hightower" in the Police Academy movies.

    Yes the Bubba who was a Spartan to the day he died.  The ES met Bubba once, on his honeymoon, with the ES' brand new wife, at LAX.  He was scrunched into one of those airport chairs, this was back in 1996.  All 6-8, 320 pounds of him into some tiny chair, with a blue ball cap on, trying to hide... and the ES saw him from an instant.  Sorry, but I couldn't help myself! "Hey, Bubba, Bubba Smith!  Man you are the greatest."  He asked me about Nick Saban and the future of hope of Spartan football.  He said "I hope he's the right guy."  Little did the ES know - that should have been hint enough...  :) But, he gave me his autograph, he posed with a photo with my new wife (which is proudly displayed at my work).  A very gracious, humble giant.

    Oh, man.  When the ES was brought up, it was all about how great Bubba was.  Actually it was the formation of my Spartan brainwashing -- pre-Magic Johnson.  He was THE MAN.  Matter of fact, a few years ago Sports Illustrated ranked one person from the history of college football for each position on offense and defense, and kickers... 24 in all.  Only one Spartan made the cut:  Bubba Smith.

    Bubba Smith - you will always be remembered as a GREAT SPARTAN.  GO GREEN GO WHITE!  This 2011 season is dedicated to you.

    FYI - Bubba has a fascinating history in College Football, important in the annals of integration -- one that if any of you ever get the chance to learn about, you should read:  Smith, John Matthew. "'Breaking the plane': integration and black protest in Michigan State University football during the 1960s." Michigan Historical Review 33.2 (2007): 101-129. 


    Here are two sections about Bubba from John Smith's very good research. The first is here, the second below is more specific to Bubba.

    RIP BUBBA SMITH - a GREAT Spartan.


    "For Michigan State star player Charles "Bubba" Smith, a black Texas native who had never played in an integrated stadium until he went to college, this would be the pinnacle of his college career. If Smith symbolized Michigan State football, Jim Lynch, a white Irish-Catholic Ohioan and All-American linebacker, epitomized the kind of player for whom Notre Dame fans were used to cheering. At a pep rally two days before the game, on Notre Dame's pristine campus in South Bend, Indiana, forty-five hundred students and fans flooded the old field house as the marching band played the school's fight song. With chants of "cheer, cheer for Old Notre Dame" ringing from the rafters, the overwhelmingly white male crowd hanged Bubba Smith in effigy next to a sign that read "LYNCH 'EM."


    Coaches and athletes were often hanged in effigy by the fans and students of opposing schools, but "hanging" Smith next to a sign that said lynch 'em suggested some mixture of insensitivity and outfight racial bias at Notre Dame. Two years after the Civil Rights Act of 1964, and nearly twenty years after Jackie Robinson broke major-league baseball's color barrier, the "dummy in the green uniform with a number 95" represented not only Bubba Smith but a rejection of racial equality. Well into the twentieth century lynching had expressed and enforced white supremacy in the South, and the powerful memory of mob rule was reinforced for African Americans in the 1960s when their churches were bombed, or they were clubbed and hosed by police or stoned by white crowds. Notre Dame's rally was emblematic of a dominant white sports culture that resisted integration.

    The racial makeup of each school's football team illustrates the uneven progress of the civil fights movement. On one end of the spectrum, Notre Dame represented how hard blacks had to struggle to move beyond token athletic integration at predominantly white institutions. At the other end, Michigan State's squad was an example of what a fully integrated team might look like. While many northern football programs firmly believed that it would be dangerous to play more blacks than whites, in 1966 Michigan State's defense started eight black players and three whites. The offensive backfield started two black running backs and a black quarterback, and the team's two captains were black. In an era that accepted without question the myths that teams could not win by playing more blacks than whites and that black players did not have the intelligence to handle leadership positions, Michigan State's 1965 and 1966 football teams were unlike any others in the prior history of integrated college football.

    Not only were Michigan State's teams in those two years fully integrated, but also they were the best that the school's head coach Hugh "Duffy" Daugherty had ever fielded, finishing a combined 19-1-1 as well as sharing the 1965 national championship. What separated these MSU teams from others in the country was a nucleus of talented black players, many from the South. In the late 1950s Daugherty took advantage of a talent source previously untapped (at least by coaches at primarily white schools) by developing relationships with black high-school coaches at coaching clinics in the South. Michigan State's integrated teams were created in an era when television had begun to come of age; young athletes and high-school coaches could see blacks and whites lining up beside one another.

    Despite the widespread perception that Daugherty had built a color-blind football program, Michigan State's black athletes later challenged the assumption that all of the university's sports programs were free of racism by boycotting spring practice in 1968. At the height of the Black Power movement, these black athletes protested racial discrimination in MSU's athletic department and transformed their privileged position into one of empowerment. Thus, football provided a way for Michigan State's black athletes to challenge segregation both on and off the field."

    And, here is a second entry relating to Smith more directly:

    "Despite winning praise from the African American community, Michigan State's team struggled, ending the 1962 season at 5-4, good for a fifth-place tie in the conference. It was clear the Spartans would have to rebuild. Although the team was floundering on the field, Daugherty's program continued to receive national attention for playing African Americans. The AP reported that MSU "has probably the largest delegation of Negro players in the history of major college football." Slowly other coaches began to realize the benefits of recruiting black players. Ohio State's Woody Hayes contended that most coaches began playing black players not because they believed in the importance of equal opportunity regardless of color, but because they believed in the importance of winning and the financial rewards that accompanied success. While speaking to a group of coaches at a clinic Hayes stated, "We had a Negro problem once, I know. That was in 1959, when we had no Negroes on the team and we lost four [conference] football games. I hope we never have a problem like that [again]." Even so, most coaches like Hayes and the University of Michigan's Chalmers "Bump" Elliot were slow to play as many black athletes as Daugherty. Meanwhile, the MSU coach increased his recruitment of black players, especially in the South.

    After moderate success in 1963, finishing 6-2-1 and second in the Big Ten, the 1964 team slid back to 4-5, placing sixth in the conference. The Spartans' record left fans dissatisfied, but Daugherty had begun to develop talented players who would be critical to the team's success in the coming years, when it would have some of its best seasons. Many of these gifted players were blacks who had migrated from the South. Of the twenty-one black players on MSU's 1964 squad, ten were from the South, a major shift from Daugherty's first team in 1954, which did not have a single black southerner. In contrast, only three of Daugherty's fifty-seven white players were from the South. Clearly, Daugherty limited recruiting in the South mainly to black players.

    Yet, even as Daugherty worked to establish MSU's football program as a place of opportunity for black athletes, many whites decried Daugherty's liberal policies about integration. A number of alumni questioned why Daugherty used so many black players. He recalled one alumni meeting where in the middle of his speech someone yelled, "Hey, Duff, how many niggers are you gonna start this year?" Daugherty responded by questioning the manhood of the racist who was willing to yell an epithet from the back of the room but unwilling to step forward, identify himself, and take responsibility for his words. The room fell silent.

    Daugherty explained that it was his policy to "play the best players, whether they happened to be all black or all white." At another gathering at one alumnus's home, the man threatened the coach, "Duffy, you've been using a lot of niggers lately. You know, the minute you start four or five of them in the same backfield, you've lost me." Daugherty looked the man straight in the eye and said, "Then I've lost you right now," and with that he left.  Daugherty played African Americans to win, not to be known as a civil rights activist. Nonetheless, he risked his career by recruiting so many black players. What if his "experiment" had failed? It was one thing to play a few black players here and there, but to start more black players than whites, as he did with his 1965 defense, was unprecedented. At the beginning of the season, the only question that remained for Daugherty was whether it would work.


    Twenty-three African Americans made the 1965 team, a new high for Spartan football. Not only were there more blacks than ever before, but they stood out as top playmakers as well. Among those starting on defense were Charles "Bubba" Smith, George Webster, Charles Thornhill, Jim Summers, Jess Phillips, and Harold Lucas.  Willie Ray Smith, Bubba Smith's father and the head football coach at the all-black Charlton-Pollard High in Beaumont, Texas, had a big impact on Daugherty's success in recruiting black players in the state. After meeting Daugherty at a coaching clinic in Dallas in 1960, Willie Ray Smith and the Spartan coach developed a level of trust that created a pipeline for talent stretching all the way from Smith's hometown of Beaumont to East Lansing. 

    When eighteen-year-old Charles "Bubba" Smith left Beaumont in the summer of 1963 to play football at Michigan State, the East Lansing campus looked nothing like his hometown. Before his trip to Michigan, Smith had not known very many whites well. In addition, Smith had been scarred by racial violence as a young boy when he witnessed a black man cry for mercy as five members of the Ku Klux Klan branded the letters KKK into the man's chest with a hot iron. Those three letters burned into Smith's memory, leaving him wondering, "Why do white people hate me?" As Bubba prepared to leave Beaumont, one of his father's assistant coaches predicted, "You'll never make it up there with the big boys. Those corn-fed white boys will lynch your fat ass without your pappy." (49) This coach's attitude highlights the ambivalence some black southerners felt toward the North. Blacks faced a complex set of unspoken rules there that forced them into the precarious world of de facto segregation.

    Football enabled Smith to escape the endemic violence of a segregated South. In Michigan there were no "colored only" signs hanging above water fountains or nailed to bathroom doors, and no "colored sections" for blacks at football stadiums. But he faced other indignities. When Smith's own fans, a predominantly white crowd, shouted, "Kill, Bubba, Kill!" Smith became, figuratively speaking, animalized. The command bore an eerie resemblance to the order one might give an attack dog. While Notre Dame students hanged him in effigy, Smith's own fans cared only for his usefulness in winning games and raising the reputation of their school. (50) Off the field, Smith and his teammates had a difficult time finding an apartment in East Lansing. Even though Smith had left the segregated South, racism was also alive and well in his new northern surroundings."


    Saturday, July 30, 2011

    Big Ten to move to nine games in 2017

    Looks like the Big Ten is taking one step closer to a round-robin in football, with adding one conference game (total of nine) beginning in 2017.  Said ESPN's Adam Rittenberg - "Big Ten coaches aren't thrilled about the idea of a nine-game conference schedule, which likely will debut in 2017.  But another potential scheduling twist is gaining support around the conference. Big Ten coaches are discussing the possibility of playing one league game earlier in the season, like you see in the SEC, ACC and other major conferences."

    ES loves it.  More conference games the better.

    Cousins WOWs at B1G Ten Luncheon

    Kirk Cousins, albeit a bit fast on his delivery (he is only what 21 years old???), blows away the crowd with his take on what it means to be a Big Ten football player.  Standing ovation, watch, listen, and clap... He gets it right at the end, with a hearty "Go Green." 

    Captain Kirk:  Just follow this up with 3,000 yards, 30 TDs, and 0 INTs and we'll be happy... :)  :)

    Sunday, July 24, 2011

    Rollerball on Steriods: MSU to Pound scUM with Nike Pro Combat System Uniform on October 15

    The ES met with an old colleague from his days working in the Michigan State Senate... he used to play cornerback for Bo Schemechler at scUM.  He said, "I haven't seen you in a while, what have you been up to?" ES response:, "since we been kicking your arse, I haven't needed to get in your face."  He laughed, and said: "well, that's about to change."  The ES said "show me."  Fantastic engagement.  Loved it.

    As for any football updates, the one interesting tidbit is Rollerball #2 is about to hit Spartanland this fall.  We saw our first Rollerball playout last year with the debut of the new OregonNikeIsh Spartan football jerseys last year.  Now, MSU will display some freakish highly advanced "fully integrated uniform system" for the MSU vs scUM matchup this fall, October 15, at Spartan Stadium.  Nike officially calls this a "2011 Nike Pro Combat system" -- those who will sport it will include Army, Boise State, Georgia, LSU, Michigan State, Navy, Ohio State, Oregon and Stanford.

    What is interesting is we got a taste of it already (at right), at least those of you who watched the professional debut of Cam Newton in the 2011 BCS Championship Game, as Oregon with its Combat Uniforms did its best to leapfrog the Auburn Tigers, to no avail.

    What to expect?  ES guess is some freakish helmet whose colors shimmy from green to white to gray, a green uniform with tiny whitish spots and some ugly gruff "pretend" shield painted on the shoulder pads like the stupid feathers painted on the Ducks' pads, and some whitish/graying pants.  You will see them keep the Rollerball-ish numbers and Michigan State typeface on the front, a la Oregon. Any stripes?  Nope, not anywhere -- they ain't on the Oregon combat unis, and don't expect them on the Spartan combat unis.

    Will we see Neon Spartan Green?  It remains to be... well, seen....  Who cares, so long as we kick Brady Hoke and his scUM arse, we can wear pantyhose and pink jerseys for all the ES cares.

    Saturday, July 23, 2011

    Spartans' Captain Kirk to be featured at Big Ten Annual Media Day

    OK, Big Ten media day is coming next week (Friday, July 29), at McCormick Place in Chicago.  And... other than BTN's Dave Revsine, the other lead speaker is none other than... Michigan State quarterback Kirk Cousins who will speak on behalf of the players in attendance. No shock there - anyone who has ever heard Cousins' interviews, whether after a shining or sloppy performance, win or lose, he's as natural on t.v. as anyone you've ever heard.  He will represent the Big Ten players well. Go GREEN! 

    In addition, Revsine and Captain Kirk will be joined at the Kickoff Luncheon by each of the 12 Big Ten head football coaches and 36 of the conference's top returning players. Revsine will sit down with the coaches in groups of three to discuss the upcoming season - a departure from years past in which coaches individually addressed the crowd.

    Luncheon starts at 11:30 CT.  Read more here

    Wednesday, July 13, 2011

    New NCAA Hockey Conference Serves Death Blow to WCHA, CCHA

    Interesting changes in the Division I hockey landscape this summer.  Basically, the long traditions of the WCHA and CCHA are ending.  The power teams in the two conferences will all leave by the 2012-2013 season, when the Big Ten adds hockey with a new team at Penn State, CCHA members MSU, scUM, and Ohio State, and WCHA members Wisconsin and Minnesota.

    Now, a new hockey conference will take the remaining power teams from the WCHA (Minnesota-Duluth, Colorado Collage, Denver, North Dakota) and Miami-Ohio and Nebraska-Omaha from the CCHA. That announcement today was the final death blow to the WCHA and CCHA.  Notably, the former commissioner of the CCHA, Tom Anastos, read the writing long ago when Penn State announced the beginning of its hockey program -- and bolted to the opening head coaching position at Michigan State to replace the retiring Rick Comley.

    The funerals for WCHA and CCHA will likely be held in those teams that have been left out in the cold, like Michigan Tech, Ferris State, and Western Michigan, all season long beginning this fall.  Welcome to new NCAA hockey in 2012!

    Sunday, July 03, 2011

    Phil Steele disappoints on #28 Michigan State

    Reading Phil Steele's writeup of his #28 Michigan State Spartans was one of the more disappointing reads of the preseason previews; although he is accurate in his assessment by position, he uses a negative connotation about MSU, unlike his love of the scUM mystique.  Just starting with the cover -- a scUM player (Robinson), a Ohio $tate player (Williams), and a Nebraska player (Crick).... even though Steele picks MSU in a tie in the Legends Division with Nebraska. 

    But, his analysis of the Spartans sez this by position, fairly accurate:
    • QB: "Cousins should be one of the Big Ten's best"
    • RB: "This is one of the deeper RB corps in the country"
    • OL: "With a deeper overall unit MSU could top last year's production"
    • DL: "This looks like the Spartans' deepest and most complete DL since at least '07"
    • LB: "With the loss of the top 2, however, this unit will be down a few notches"
    • DB: "This group is equal to last year in terms of experience and 6'2' Tony Lippet could be a big upgrade at CB if he stays on defense"
    • ST:  "may drop a few notches"
    Forecast:  "This year MSU has just 12 returning starters and play five road games vs. bowl teams. Despite that 7-1 mark in Big Ten play they were only +39.9 yards per game.  MSU also benefitted from three net close wins and had just 7 starters lost to injury.  This is probably the strongest team that Dantonio has fielded but the above factors make it tough to match last year's 11 wins."  He ranks Michigan State #28 overall, although he has them in a tie for first in the Legends Division... ????

    ES:  My problem with the forecast is the framework provided by Steele is one of the glass being half empty instead of half full:  why is ypg, close wins, and lack of injuries seen as a negative?  This is Dantonio's style, to play tough on defense and give his teams a chance to make plays and win.  Spartan fans will (hopefully) see this year in and year out... and also celebrate the victories to match. 

    Notably, in every other BCS conference where he picked a #1 team or a tie at #1 in a conference division, Steele ranked them in the Top 25 (except the Big Least with Pitt) :  SEC (Alabama #1, Georgia #9), ACC (#5 Virginia Tech, #10 Florida St), Pac-12 (#4 Oregon, #17 Southern Cal), Big East (#25 South Florida, #27 Pittsburgh), Big 12 (Oklahoma #2), Big Ten (#12 Nebraska, #15 Ohio St, #23 Wisconsin, #24 Penn St). 

    Steele projects Michigan State to play Florida in the Gator Bowl on New Year's Day.  He has Cousins as his #6 QB, Baker as his #7 RB, Martin as his #51 WR, Cunningham as his #65 WR, Linthicum as #24 TE, Foreman as his #7 OG, Conroy as #16 PK, Worthy as #2 DT, Norman as #43 LB, Adams as #33 CB, Robinson as #17 FS, and Martin as #15 PR.  Never in my years reading Steele have I seen as many Spartans listed so highly. 

    As units go, Steele has MSU QBs at #23, RBs at #6, DL at #25, ST at #6.  Steele blew it not including the Spartan WR corps or the DBs in his top 25 -- clearly they deserve a nod. 

    Bottom line: the ES despises being lumped into the same category as Pittsburgh and not being given a nod for its talent... but, this just means that Dantonio has lots of work to do to give Michigan State the respect after so many years of underachieving.  That starts with 2011-12.