Sunday, November 21, 2010

#10 MSU favored by 2 over Joe Pa; Bo Pelini on thin ice

Michigan State is favored by 2 at Penn State. Kickoff is Noon ET, on ESPN. Ohio State is favored by 17 over scUM; Purdon't favored by 4 at home over Indiana; Wisky by 23 over Northwestern; Iowa is favored by 15 at Minny.

BIG TEN TITLE GAME IN INDY
FYI - The inaugural Big Ten Football Championship Game will be played in prime time on December 3, 2011, at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. It will be televised by Fox Sports.

NEBRASKA CHANCELLOR CALLS OUT COACH PELINI AS HOT HEAD WITH BAD BEHAVIOR
If you saw the Nebraska loss to Texas A & M on Saturday night, you saw Nebraska coach Bo Pelini screaming at his players, officials... anyone who would listen. Well, the president at Nebraska ain't happy about it. "Bo has a lot of passion for his football team," Nebraska chancellor Harvey Perlman said, "and there is a strong upside to that. But again, overall, the conduct was unfortunate last night." Bo Pelini had a big downside when he was touted as a hire: he was a hothead. It's getting him in trouble...

MICHIGAN STATE AT #10 IN BCS
The Big Green have jumped to a solid #10 in the latest BCS rankings... Wisconsin is #7, Ohio State is #8, Nebraska is #15, Iowa is #24...

BCS Harris Poll USA Today Computer Rankings
RKTEAMAVGPVS RKPTS%RK PTS %AVG A&HRBCMKMJSPW %
1Oregon.9764112793.980011459.98922225222.960
2Auburn.9682222727.956821398.947811411111.000
3TCU.8995342557.897241300.88143312453.920
4Boise State.8860432619.918931341.90925534676.830
5LSU.8193562227.781461175.79664453534.880
6Stanford.7763672209.775181112.753961096345.800
7Wisconsin.7688752295.805351211.8210887129910.680
8Ohio State.7148982131.747771116.756696101015119.640
9Oklahoma State.68151091805.63339990.671277877108.740
10Michigan State.606312101797.630510927.62851291111161511.560
11Alabama.601911111783.625611885.6000111361413812.580
12Arkansas.569713121589.557512784.531510141513867.620
13Oklahoma.504114131412.495413733.49691411149121615.520
14Missouri.456415161176.412616585.39661212168101313.560
15Nebraska.44238151199.420715614.416315151215141214.490
16Virginia Tech.421316141322.463914723.490218181717222117.310
17Texas A&M.36071918936.328418492.333616161916111416.420
18South Carolina.358317171037.363917577.391217171819171820.320
19Nevada.29431819894.313719456.309219192118192219.260
20Utah.19612320495.173722228.154619201320202018.260
21Arizona.18482221471.165320279.189221242023181922.200
22Florida State.12962522439.154021243.164724210210024.070
23North Carolina State.0923NR23330.115823208.141025025220025.020
24Iowa.08992024284.09962474.050223222325232323.120
25Mississippi State.08622125178.06252568.04612225220211721.150

Saturday, November 20, 2010

#10 Michigan State gets to 10 wins in November

Thanks to the punt-block by Denicos Allen (#22 at right), MSU rallied feverishly to defeat Purdon't 35-31 today. Yes, all you betters didn't come close to covering today. MSU has jumped to #10 in the USAToday poll (below).

Correct the ES if he is wrong, but at 10-1, this is the first time in its storied history that Michigan State has registered double-digit wins in the regular season. FIRST TIME EVER WE HAVE 10 WINS IN NOVEMBER.

MSU will moves up to #10, particularly with Nebraska's loss, 9-6, to Texas A&M in a field goal-kicker's marathon. Can't wait til Nebraska joins next year and we get to kick their ass on an annual basis. The Spartans had only 95 yards rushing today, and most of that was Baker moving across the 1,000-yard mark.

GREAT WIN. NOW, BEAT PENN STATE

Nov. 21, 2010
Rank
Team (first-place votes)
Record
Points
Last week's ranking
1.
Oregon (48)
10-0
1,459
1
2.
Auburn (4)
11-0
1,398
2
3.
10-0
1,341
3
4.
TCU (2)
11-0
1,300
4
5.
10-1
1,211
5
6.
10-1
1,175
6
7.
10-1
1,116
7
8.
10-1
1,1112
8
9.
Oklahoma State
10-1
990
10
10.
10-1
927
11
11.
Alabama
9-2
885
12
12.
9-2
784
13
13.
9-2
733
14
14.
9-2
723
15
15.
9-2
614
9
16.
9-2
585
16
17.
South Carolina
8-3
577
17
18.
Texas A&M
8-3
492
19
19.
10-1
456
18
20.
7-3
279
23
21.
Florida State
8-3
243
NR
22.
Utah
9-2
228
24
23.
8-3
208
NR
24.
Iowa
7-4
74
20
25.
Mississippi State
7-4
68
22
Dropped out
No. 21 Miami (Fla.) (7-4, lost to then-No. 15 Virginia Tech 31-17), No. 25 Northwestern (7-4, lost to Illinois 48-27).
Others receiving votes
Northern Illinois (9-2) 67; Central Florida (8-3) 21; Hawaii (8-3) 20; Southern Mississippi (8-3) 16; West Virginia (7-3) 13; Florida (7-4) 12; Miami (Fla.) (7-4) 11; Navy (8-3) 7; Ohio (8-3) 5; Pittsburgh (6-4) 5; Penn State (7-4) 4; San Diego State (7-4) 4; Temple (8-3) 4; Maryland (7-4) 3; Michigan (7-4) 2; Northwestern (7-4) 2; Tulsa (8-3) 1.

Friday, November 19, 2010

ES predicts Michigan State vs Purdue

OK, the Big Green is favored by 20 over Purdon't. I will have to leave here by 6:30 AM to go meet my buddy, Big Bob, at the Roadhouse at 11 am prior to the game... I'll be there, by hook or by crook.

ES sez: Big Green 42, Purdon't 13.

Iowa is a 3-pt dog to Ohio State. The ES has never, ever been a bigger Skinny Chicken fan than this weekend. And, Wisky is favored by 3 at scUM. They'll win by 14.

Did you hear about the zany decision with the Illinois-Northwestern game? All offense will head in one direction. It is the right decision for safety reasons, but makes for what will be a unique game, all four quarters playing in one direction.

NCAA PRESIDENT NOT OPPOSED TO FOOTBALL CHAMPIONSHIP

So, here I am in Indianapolis at the conference for the Association for the Study of Higher Education (ASHE)... I was in a session yesterday, at which Bob Kustra, the president of Boise State University, interviewed the president of the NCAA, Mark Emmert.

BK: "When you were president at the University of Washington, you stated that a college football playoff was expected, sooner or later. So, when are we going to get an NCAA playoff?"

ME: "Now, I am in a bit of a different role. We make decisions based on the needs of the member institutions. We have 88 NCAA championships that we run, so we know how to do them. If the members decide that they would like a championship for NCAA Division I-FBS, then we will do what we are asked."

Monday, November 15, 2010

Michigan State at #11 and how to get to the Rose Bowl

ES sez: MSU must beat Penn State and Iowa must beat Ohio State. That hasn't changed from last week.

Here is a nice summary from the ES' brother in Chicago:

The good news is that Iowa lost. That leaves 3 teams in the drivers seat for the Big Ten Championship.

The bad news is not only did Ohio State win convincingly in the second half, but Wisconsin destroyed Indiana by the highest point total of any game by any team this year. And both Oregon, Auburn and TCU survived. And MSU actually *dropped* one place in the rankings for not playing anyone.
This matters because if it ends up tied at the end - with MSU, OSU and Wisconsin all tied up - OSU would go to the Rose Bowl because they has the higher BCS standings; the MSU loss to Iowa looks all the worse as they have now lost 3 games, so they have the lowest of the three BCS ratings. Remember, MSU beat Wisconsin, so given that MSU wins out and OSU loses, MSU should get the Rose Bowl nod and Wisconsin into the Orange, probably. Two Big Ten teams will likely get into BCS bowls it appears - but not 3.

Sunday, November 07, 2010

Michigan State up to #10 after beating up Minnesota, 31-8

Kind of a yawner, as expected, yesterday as Michigan State's defense dominated Minnesota, 31-8. RB Edwin Baker had a great game, with 4 TDs and 179 yards on the ground at 6.6 yards per clip. Michigan State continues its torrid pace at 9-1 overall. The ES left the game in the middle of the fourth quarter to get to the Harrison Roadhouse, only to watch Indiana's WR drop a game winning TD pass over Iowa. The Roadhouse exploded, just expecting he caught it... only for one minute later for everyone to realize the guy dropped it. The lesson: you can never count on Indiana to do the dirty work...

Michigan State made a big leap, up to #10 in the coaches poll... now a week off to sit back and watch other teams beat each other up.

The USA TODAY/ESPN Top 25 football coaches poll, total points based on 25 points for first place through one point for 25th and ranking in last week's poll.


Nov. 7, 2010
Rank
Team (first-place votes)
Record
Points
Last week's ranking
1.
Oregon (50)
9-0
1,463
1
2.
Auburn (4)
10-0
1,389
2
3.
TCU (2)
10-0
1,340
4
4.
8-0
1,330
3
5.
8-1
1,184
7
6.
8-1
1,153
11
7.
8-1
1,123
8
8.
8-1
1,067
10
9.
Stanford
8-1
1,058
12
10.
9-1
876
15
11.
Oklahoma State
8-1
832
18
12.
7-2
791
5
13.
7-2
779
16
14.
7-2
696
19
15.
8-1
659
6
16.
7-2
569
9
17.
Virginia Tech
7-2
563
20
18.
Mississippi State
7-2
477
21
19.
7-2
403
13
20.
7-2
395
14
21.
Nevada
8-1
328
23
22.
South Carolina
6-3
151
17
23.
7-2
99
NR
24.
Florida
6-3
85
NR
25.
Texas A&M
6-3
79
NR
Dropped out
No. 22 Baylor (7-3, lost to then-No. 18 Oklahoma State 55-28), No. 24 Florida State (6-3, lost to North Carolina 37-35), No. 25 North Carolina State (6-3, lost to Clemson 14-13).
Others receiving votes
Miami (Fla.) (6-3) 67; San Diego State (7-2) 44; Kansas State (6-3) 36; Baylor (7-3) 30; Penn State (6-3) 28; Michigan (6-3) 15; Fresno State (6-2) 11; Temple (8-2) 11; Florida State (6-3) 8; North Carolina (6-3) 8; Northern Illinois (7-2) 8; Navy (6-3) 5; North Carolina State (6-3) 5; Pittsburgh (5-3) 5; Hawaii (7-3) 3; Southern Mississippi (6-3) 2.

Saturday, November 06, 2010

Predicting MSU vs Minnesota

ES prediction for the second-most uninteresting game of the season: MSU 42, Minnesota 14. MSU will gain 200+ yards on the ground and move up two more spots in the national polls by days end...

Thursday, November 04, 2010

Trifecta for 2010

After watching a wide variety of video clips from the fake-FG touchdown victory in OT over Notre Dame... the ES started wondering: how successful has been the TRIFECTA in 2010?

Just a reminder to enlighten the masses: the trifecta is a weekend with an MSU football victory, a Michigan loss, and a Notre Dame loss. As of last year, for the 41 years of the life of the ES (since 1968), it had happened 17 times in 479 weekends of football. But, it happened 7 times from 2007-2009, and only 10 times from 1968-2006. So the frequency had increased dramatically as both ND and scUM take a nosedive in their quality of football.

Does the trend continue in 2010? Not yet. Actually, Michigan lost the past three of the past four weeks, including a bye... but, in two of those weeks when scUM played, Notre Dame did not lose. And, when scUM and ND lost last week - so did Michigan State. Sigh.

This weekend, the TRIFECTA looks good - Notre Dame sans Crist faces undefeated #5 Utah; Michigan faces Illinois, and Michigan State faces Minnesota.

ES predicts TRIFECTA this weekend.

Tuesday, November 02, 2010

Michigan State by 24 over Minnesota

Regrouping this week... the Big Green Touchdown Machine is a home 24-pt favorite over the coach-less Minny Gophers on Saturday. A noon kickoff on the Big Ten Network. Wear your thermals, it will be 41 degrees, coming off a night with a forecast of potential snow showers, the first white flakes of the season. It will be nice for the ES to head out on Sunday to Louisiana to accomplish some dissertation data collection in 75-degree weather...

scUM is favored by 3 at home over Illinois...which is a joke. Illinois is the second-best team Michigan State has faced all year. Wait until Denard gets a load of that Illini interior smack-down defense.

Saturday, October 30, 2010

Teaching MSU a lesson

Umm.... the ES wuz wrong. We got our asses kicked today, 38-7 or whatever, by Iowa. Got taught a good lesson on how to play football. Jeez.

Friday, October 29, 2010

ES prediction: Michigan State vs Iowa

ES sez: Michigan State 19, Iowa 17.

Give it up for 4 Dan Conroy FGs in an otherwise evenly matched game...

#5 Michigan State at #18 Iowa
3:30 pm, ABC TV

re: on ESPN/College Game Day Friday night, Kirk Herbstreit said "everytime I pick the Spartans to lose they win. This time I pick Michigan State, and Kirk Cousins will come through again... but they better be careful."

Dantonio: Anyone, Anywhere, Anytime? Boise State in 2012 and beyond

Wow: Mark Dantonio and Mark Hollis are doing to Spartan football what Tom Izzo has done to Spartan basketball - play the big boys.

On the eve of the Michigan State vs Iowa game, the Biggest Football game in 44 years for Spartan fans, the MSU athletic department announced a three game series with Boise State: in EL in 2012, in Idaho in 2022, and back in EL in 2023.

In the last 18 months, Michigan State has announced home-and-home series with West Virginia (2014-15), Alabama (2016-17) and Miami-Fla. (2020-21) as well as the extension of its series with Notre Dame through the 2031 season, with two-year breaks in 2014-15, 2020-21 and 2026-27.

Thursday, October 28, 2010

Predictions: MSU vs Iowa

Prove the pundits wrong? Yes, 'tis time. Noone is picking the #5 Spartans at the #18 Hawkeyes.

Rittenberg/ESPN: Iowa 27-24
CNF/Scout: Iowa 34-27
NBC Sports: Iowa 24-23
Forde/ESPN: Iowa
Jacobi/CBSSports.com: Iowa 20-17
Bleacher Report: Iowa 24-23
Hueguin/Rivals: Iowa 24-21

Shit, why bother playing? 'CAUSE IT IS OUR YEAR AND OUR TURN AND WE WILL KICK CHICKEN-LITTLE BUTT!

Sunday, October 24, 2010

Michigan State at #5, Iowa favored by 6 over MSU

Your undefeated Spartans move to 8-0 overall, 5-0 in the Big Ten, and #5 in the polls -- its highest ranking in 44 years, two years longer than the ES has been alive. Four weeks left, and the games get bigger every week starting with this week, at #18 Iowa. Despite Michigan State's #5 ranking, the bookies in Vegas aren't buying it... and putting the Hawkeyes as early 6-point favorites.

In the BCS, MSU is also ranked #5 - but ranked as #3 in the computer rankings. Kirk Herbstreit and Rober Smith ranked MSU #6, while Craig James had MSU #3 "based on their body of work and four tough challenges."

Here is the latest poll, with Michigan State moving up three spots to #5 in both the AP and the USA Today polls.

AP Top 25
RKTEAMRECORDPTS
1Oregon (44)7-01480
2Boise State (11)6-01419
3Auburn (3)8-01376
4TCU (2)8-01354
5Michigan State8-01175
6Alabama7-11173
7Missouri7-01121
8Utah7-01098
9Wisconsin7-11022
10Ohio State7-1931
11Oklahoma6-1861
12LSU7-1831
13Stanford6-1830
14Nebraska6-1760
15Arizona6-1691
16Florida State6-1606
17South Carolina5-2476
18Iowa5-2468
19Arkansas5-2435
20Oklahoma State6-1336
21Virginia Tech6-2270
22Miami (FL)5-2229
23Mississippi State6-2221
24USC5-2172
25Baylor6-256

  • Dropped from rankings: West Virginia 20, Texas 22
  • Others receiving votes: Nevada 32, Hawaii 19, Michigan 9, Syracuse 8, West Virginia 8, San Diego State 7, East Carolina 7, Navy 5, Oregon State 5, Northwestern 4, Florida 2, Maryland 1, North Carolina State 1, Northern Illinois 1,
Meanwhile, and don't look now, but the Spartans are also ranked #2 in the preseason USA Today men's basketball poll.

Saturday, October 23, 2010

Aaron Bates for Heisman

Come on, let us all be real. The Heisman Trophy should go be awarded to the best player in America, no?

That would be Spartan quarterback Aaron Bates, who is now 2-for-2 for 50 yards, two fourth-down conversions, 1 TD, and a QB rating of 475.0. By the way, Bates is also the Spartan's starting punter, with a 45.1 average, including 7 kicks inside the 20 and 8 punts of over 50 yards each. But what has Bates as the Heisman candidate is not only his OT-game winning TD pass against Notre Dame, but today's 4th quarter, 4th-and-22 conversion on a throw to Bennie Fowler in the Michigan State 35-27 victory at Northwestern.

Give Mark Dantonio credit... many thought it may be coming, but still NW bit on the kick fake, Fowler turned open, and it led MSU to a touchdown -- and significant momentum change from a deficit to the eventual victory. Great call and BETTER execution on the fake.

MSU now sites 8-0 (4-0 Big Ten), alone undefeated in Big Ten play, and will likely move up in the national BCS standings with a loss by LSU, poor scheduling by Boise State and TCU, and potential impact of the Oklahoma-Mizzou game.

All of this, thanks, to Aaron Bates.

Team Totals MSU NU
FIRST DOWNS 24 22
Rushing 4 13
Passing 19 9
Penalty 1 0
NET YARDS RUSHING 105 170
Rushing Attempts 26 47
Average Per Rush 4.0 3.6
Rushing Touchdowns 2 3
Yards Gained Rushing 127 208
Yards Lost Rushing 22 38
NET YARDS PASSING 352 215
Completions-Attempts-Int 30-44-0 19-30-1
Average Per Attempt 8.0 7.2
Average Per Completion 11.7 11.3
Passing Touchdowns 3 0
TOTAL OFFENSE YARDS 457 385
Total offense plays 70 77
Average Gain Per Play 6.5 5.0
Fumbles: Number-Lost 2-1 2-1
Penalties: Number-Yards 4-30 6-66
PUNTS-YARDS 6-258 5-191
Average Yards Per Punt 43.0 38.2
Net Yards Per Punt 33.0 37.6
Inside 20 1 2
50+ Yards 1 1
Touchbacks 1 0
Fair catch 0 3
KICKOFFS-YARDS 6-374 6-366
Average Yards Per Kickoff 62.3 61.0
Net Yards Per Kickoff 41.8 42.7
Touchbacks 3 2
Punt returns: Number-Yards-TD 1-3-0 3-40-0
Average Per Return 3.0 13.3
Kickoff returns: Number-Yds-TD 3-70-0 3-63-0
Average Per Return 23.3 21.0
Interceptions: Number-Yds-TD 1-16-0 0-0-0
Fumble Returns: Number-Yds-TD 0-0-0 0-0-0
Miscellaneous Yards 0 0
Possession Time 30:44 29:16
1st Quarter 7:07 7:53
2nd Quarter 8:13 6:47
3rd Quarter 5:59 9:01
4th Quarter 9:25 5:35
Third-Down Conversions 5 of 14 8 of 16
Fourth-Down Conversions 2 of 2 0 of 1
Red-Zone Scores-Chances 3-4 5-6
Sacks By: Number-Yards 8-35 2-18
PAT Kicks 5-5 3-3
Field Goals 0-1 2-2











Friday, October 22, 2010

ES prediction: Michigan State over Northwestern, 37-17

Go Michigan State! Pits to Fitz.

WNUR
picks MSU 27-24
Rittenberg/ESPN picks MSU 28-20
USA Today picks MSU 28-27
Betonline picks MSU by a TD

ES is more confident than any of these pundits. Michigan State has held five of seven oppts under 20 pts. Only Wisky and ND scored more than 20. The Big Green has scored more than 30 in six of its seven games. NW defense is not as good as Illinois and Wisky, and the Spartans gouged them for 26 and 34. At Ryan Field, there will be 20,000 Spartans - mitigating home field to some extent (yes, the ES has been to Ryan Field five times).

ES is thinking something closer to 37-17, a nice clean demolition by Cousins, Baker, Jones, and Dantonio. It shall be surgical.

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Around the Horn: Spartans - Wildcat previews; Pick a BCS Bowl: Orange, Sugar, or Rose? MSU Schedules Convicts

Previews are trickling out for the Spartans' road game to Chicago to take on Northwestern...
Meanwhile, though it is early, ESPN is projecting a MSU Spartan New Year's Day trip to BCS land, to either the Orange Bowl vs Virginia Tech or a Rose Bowl vs TCU... meanwhile CBS Sports is projecting a [gulp] Sugar Bowl stint vs Alabama!

CBS Sports mid-season All-America teams includes three Spartans on the first team: LB Greg Jones, OL Joel Foreman, and PK Dan Conroy. And, Dennis Dodd calls the Spartans' this year's college football "cinderella" - can't argue with that.

SPARTANS VS CATHOLICS AND CONVICTS
Finally... bring on the Hurricanes. Nice job to AD Mark Hollis scheduling a home-and-home with the University of Miami in 2020 and 2021. The Spartans will kick off the two-game series with Miami on Sept. 26, 2020, in East Lansing, Mich., and make their first-ever appearance in the 74,916-seat Sun Life Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla., on Sept. 18, 2021. We've got the Convicts filling the two-year void in the schedule left by the Catholics (Notre Dame).

Tuesday, October 19, 2010

MSU equates to statistical balance

I do not think I have ever seen better statistical balance than below. You wonder why Mich State is #7 nationally. Read it and weep...

TEAM RANKINGS
120 teams ranked in Football Bowl Subdivision
11 teams ranked in the Big Ten Conference
Category National
Rank
Actual National
Leader
Actual Conf
Rank
Big Ten
Conference Leader
Actual
Rushing Offense 26 206.14 Air Force 346.86 4 Michigan 281.57
Passing Offense 47 241.43 Hawaii 402.43 5 Indiana 319.33
Total Offense 23 447.57 Oregon 567.00 2 Michigan 532.00
Scoring Offense 25 34.43 Oregon 54.33 4 Ohio St. 39.57
Rushing Defense 22 111.71 Boise St. 59.33 3 Iowa 83.83
Pass Efficiency Defense 17 107.22 Nebraska 80.41 2 Ohio St. 98.37
Total Defense 28 325.00 Boise St. 210.17 6 Ohio St. 251.14
Scoring Defense 17 16.57 TCU 9.29 3 Iowa 13.17
Net Punting 28 38.70 Pittsburgh 44.83 3 Illinois 41.14
Punt Returns 10 15.27 Maryland 24.61 1 Michigan St. 15.27
Kickoff Returns 99 19.38 Utah 29.21 8 Penn St. 26.76
Turnover Margin 9 1.14 Army 1.57 3 Ohio St. 1.43
Pass Defense 65 213.29 Nebraska 117.00 7 Ohio St. 157.43
Passing Efficiency 10 164.16 Boise St. 188.11 3 Iowa 177.76
Sacks T-85 1.43 Florida St. 4.29 6 Purdue 3.00
Tackles For Loss 102 4.43 Miami (FL) 9.50 10 Purdue 7.50
Sacks Allowed T-66 2.00 Boise St. .17 8 Michigan .43
T=tied at this ranking

Michigan State sits atop the Big Ten

Just seeing this, brings a tear to mine eye...

TEAMB-10
ALL
#7 Michigan State3-07-0
#15 Iowa2-05-1
Purdue2-04-2
#13 Wisconsin2-16-1
#10 Ohio State2-16-1
Northwestern1-15-1
Michigan1-25-2
Illinois1-23-3
Indiana0-24-2
Penn State0-23-3
Minnesota0-31-6